Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.

Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.

Ted Cadsby
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Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.

Ted Cadsby, Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
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Complex thinkers attempt to extend to others the same self-forgiving bias that they offer themselves.

Ted Cadsby, Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World
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