“Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.”
Ted Cadsby“Oversimplifying is the first grave mistake we make when confronted by complexity; overconfidence is the second. And there is a third: based on our overconfidence in our oversimplified conclusions, we overreact.”
Ted Cadsby, Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World“Complex thinkers attempt to extend to others the same self-forgiving bias that they offer themselves.”
Ted Cadsby, Closing the Mind Gap: Making Smarter Decisions in a Hypercomplex World